Saturday, June 2, 2012

In surveys conducted in 2002 and 2011, pollsters at Gallup found that members of the American public massively overestimated how many people are gay or lesbian

In 2002, a quarter of those surveyed guessed that upwards of a quarter of Americans were gay or lesbian (or "homosexual," the third option given). By 2011, that misperception had only grown, with more than a third of those surveyed now guessing that more than 25% of Americans are gay or lesbian. Women and young adults were most likely to provide high estimates, approximating that 30% of the population is gay. Overall, U.S. adults, on average, estimate that 25% of Americans are gay or lesbian, Gallup found. Only 4% of all those surveyed in 2011 and about 8% of those surveyed in 2002 correctly guessed that fewer than 5% of Americans identify as gay or lesbian. The Williams Institute at UCLA School of Law, a gay and lesbian think tank, released a study in April 2011 estimating based on its research that just 1.7% of Americans between 18 and 44 identify as gay or lesbian, while another 1.8% - predominantly women - identify as bisexual. A Centers for Disease Control and Prevention survey of women between 22 and 44 that questioned more than 13,500 respondents between 2006 and 2008 found very similar numbers: Only 1% of the women identified themselves as gay, while 4% identified as bisexual. The Williams Institute found that, overall, an estimated 8.2% of the population had engaged in some form same-sex sexual activity. Put another way, 4.7% of the population had wandered across the line without coming to think of themselves as either gay or bisexual. Other studies suggest those individuals are, like the bisexuals, mainly women: The same CDC study that found only 1% of women identify as lesbian, for example, found that 13% of women reported a history of some form of sexual contact with other women. Overall, there have been fewer than 75,000 state-sanctioned same-sex marriages in the United States since they began to be permitted less than a decade ago, according to an estimate by Marriage Equality USA. Over the eight years since Massachusetts became the first state to legalize same-sex marriage in May 2004, 18,462 same-sex couples married in the Bay State. Another 18,000 were estimated to have wed in California during the few months before Proposition 8 passed in 2008, banning future ones; those marriages remain on the books, as the proposition was not retroactive. It's not totally clear how many same-sex marriages have taken place in New York, Connecticut, Vermont, New Hampshire, and the District of Columbia, the other jurisdictions where it is permitted.

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