Sunday, September 2, 2018

A majority of people in Northern Ireland would vote for a united Ireland in the event of Brexit, according to a new poll

The poll carried out for Our Future Our Choice, a campaign group of young people calling for a “people’s vote” on the final Brexit deal, found that 52% of people in Northern Ireland would vote for a united Ireland if the United Kingdom quits the European Union. The online poll of 1,199 people from Northern Ireland was conducted by Deltapoll between August 27th and August 30th, 2018. One of the questions posed was this: “Imagine now that the UK decided to leave the EU. Under these circumstances how would you vote in a referendum on the constitutional arrangements of the island of Ireland?” More than half – 52% – said that they would vote for a united Ireland, while 39% said that they would vote for Northern Ireland to remain part of the UK. The poll also found that more would vote for a united Ireland in the event of a hard Border. In such circumstances, 56% said that they would vote for unity in a Border poll while 40% responded that they would vote to remain in the UK. A total of 94% of those surveyed from a “nationalist heritage” said that they would vote for unity in the event of Brexit. However, that nationalist figure dropped to 73% if the UK did not leave the European Union. Among people who described themselves as neither from a nationalist nor a unionist heritage support for a united Ireland dropped from 59% to 23% if the UK stayed in the European Union. “This result confirms what everybody already knows in their heart, that if we leave the EU, people will vote for a united Ireland,” said Doire Finn (23), a spokeswoman for Our Future Our Choice Northern Ireland. “Arlene Foster and the DUP’s stance on Brexit has advanced the nationalist cause further than 40 years of IRA violence ever managed,” she added. “But her supporters have a chance to defend unionism by calling for the DUP leadership to support a people’s vote on the final Brexit deal,” said Finn. The campaign group held a similar poll in Scotland of 1,022 respondents. There 47% said that they would vote for Scottish independence in a future referendum if the UK left the European Union as planned while 43% said that they would vote to stay in the UK. But if Brexit was stopped, 47% said that they would vote for Scotland to stay in the UK and 43% said that they would vote for independence.

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