Voltaire — To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize
Wednesday, August 29, 2012
Should we really be worrying all that much about the Hispanic vote?
It is projected that in November 2012, Hispanics will comprise 17.2% of the total U.S. population, 15% of adults, 11.2% of adult citizens and 8.9% of actual voters. In 2012, non-Hispanic whites are expected to be 73.4% of the national vote and non-Hispanic blacks are expected to be 12.2%. To place the Hispanic share of the electorate into perspective, eight percentage points of the Hispanic vote nationally equals slightly less than one percentage point of the non-Hispanic white vote. The 8.9% Hispanic share of voters compares to veterans (12% of the electorate), those with family incomes above $100,000 (18%), seniors 65 and older (19%), married persons (60%) and those who live in owner-occupied housing (80%). In terms of voter turnout, it is projected that 52.7% (± 0.6) of eligible Hispanics will vote in the upcoming election, an increase from 49.9% in 2008 and a continuation of the past decade's long upward trend. The projected Hispanic voter participation rate of 52.7% compares to 66.1% for non-Hispanic whites and 65.2% for non-Hispanic blacks in 2008.
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1 comment:
The Sailer strategy lays out how republicans can win for more than a century with just the white vote alone, but eventually demographic shift will take its toll, unless actually opposed by those republicans.
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