Thursday, September 22, 2011

One of the Democratic party's leading pollsters has released a survey of 60 Republican-held battleground districts painting an ominous picture for Congressional Democrats in 2012

The poll shows Democratic House candidates faring worse than they did in the 2010 midterms, being dragged down by an unpopular president who would lose to both Texas Gov. Rick Perry and Mitt Romney. The numbers are troubling for Democrats, and echoed some of the takeaways from the GOP special election upset in New York City recently. Instead of an overall anti-incumbent sentiment impacting members of both parties, voters are taking more of their anger out on Democrats. When voters were asked whether they're supporting the Republican incumbent or a Democratic candidate, 50% preferred the Republican and just 41% backed the Democrat. Obama's job approval rating in the battleground districts is just 41%, and only inches up to 43% in the 30 more-competitive seats that are a little more Democratic. Both Perry and Romney hit a near-majority of 49% against Obama in the battlegrounds, suggesting that voters are more concerned with casting their ballot against Obama than caring about who the Republican nominee ends up being.

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